SPAL Sub 17 vs Milan Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
13º
10º
58
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
SPA
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 3
UDI
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 2
ASS
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
SPA
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 0
FSU
90%
8%
3%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 0
CIT
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 2
MIL
14%
18%
69%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MIL
6 - 1
BRE
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 2
MIL
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MIL
3 - 2
ASS
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |