SPAL Sub 17 vs Cremonese Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
13º
10º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
CIT
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 1
SPA
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDI
3 - 1
SPA
8%
16%
76%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VNZ
2 - 2
SPA
11%
18%
70%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CRE
10 - 0
FSU
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CIT
3 - 1
CRE
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CRE
6 - 0
VNZ
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
5 - 4
CRE
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 2
SPE
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |