SPAL vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
MES
1 - 3
SPA
5%
12%
83%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
TRI
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
EMP
2 - 2
REN
84%
13%
4%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
REN
3 - 1
SIR
26%
27%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
REN
0 - 5
TOR
4%
14%
82%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LIV
2 - 1
REN
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TUT
2 - 2
REN
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |