SPAL vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 2
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 2
SAS
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 0
SPA
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FRO
3 - 3
EMP
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 2
FRO
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 2
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ROM
4 - 0
FRO
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FRO
0 - 2
JUV
10%
19%
71%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |