SPAL vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CTT
2 - 0
SPA
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SPA
4 - 0
PIS
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
ACD
0 - 1
SPA
34%
27%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 0
ASS
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 0
PES
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 0
REG
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FRO
3 - 2
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
LEC
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
CHI
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
NUO
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |