SPAL vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
TRI
2 - 0
SPA
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
SPA
1 - 2
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
VIC
4 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
PAD
2 - 2
FIO
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
PAD
2 - 1
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
UDI
0 - 0
PAD
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PAD
1 - 3
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |