SPAL vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
4 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
USC
1 - 1
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
SPA
2 - 0
REG
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
SAS
0 - 2
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
FRO
1 - 2
SPA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASS
2 - 2
NUO
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
ASS
3 - 0
SAL
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
USC
0 - 2
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |