Spad Alvand vs Fard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+398%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spad Alvand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
IRA
0 - 2
SPA
52%
24%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 0
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SGY
3 - 1
SPA
80%
15%
5%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 0
NIK
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
DBF
2 - 1
SPA
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 1
SGY
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 0
DBF
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ESZ
0 - 1
ALB
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
4 - 1
SRA
23%
26%
51%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | +9 |
| 24 Dec. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 3
ALB
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +1 |