Sp. Villanueva Promesas vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
58.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sp. Villanueva Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CPC
1 - 0
SPO
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
BAL
14%
24%
63%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
SPO
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
CFB
21%
27%
52%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
AGD
15%
23%
62%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
AGD
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
41%
30%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
POL
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
LUC
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
SRQ
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |