Mongolia League Round 1

SP Falcons vs Brera Ilch FC analysis

SP Falcons Brera Ilch FC
29 ELO 9
-1.1% Tilt 7.9%
9563º General ELO ranking 15411º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
90.4%
SP Falcons
7.2%
Draw
2.5%
Brera Ilch FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.3%
Win probability
SP Falcons
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.5%
Win probability
Brera Ilch FC
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SP Falcons
+80%
-62%
Brera Ilch FC

ELO progression

SP Falcons
Brera Ilch FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SP Falcons
SP Falcons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2023
BCH
BCH Lions
2 - 7
SP Falcons
SPF
7%
12%
81%
29 9 20 0
28 Jun. 2023
SPF
SP Falcons
5 - 0
Khaan Khuns - Erchim
ERC
71%
17%
13%
29 20 9 0
24 Jun. 2023
KHA
Khangarid
0 - 3
SP Falcons
SPF
24%
20%
56%
29 20 9 0
03 Jun. 2023
SPF
SP Falcons
3 - 1
Khoromkhon
KHO
82%
11%
7%
28 15 13 +1
28 May. 2023
ULC
Ulaanbaatar City
1 - 0
SP Falcons
SPF
41%
21%
38%
29 25 4 -1