Southport vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WOK
1 - 2
SOU
61%
21%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
WRE
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 1
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WRE
1 - 3
DAR
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
WRE
37%
26%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WRE
3 - 1
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
WRE
0 - 0
BRO
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |