Southport vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 3
RED
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
5 - 2
VAU
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GAT
1 - 1
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
3 - 0
SOL
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
RED
0 - 2
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
VAU
3 - 0
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 4
TAM
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
WOR
4 - 2
GAT
28%
26%
47%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
AFC
0 - 0
WOR
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HUC
0 - 0
WOR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |