Southport vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 3
YOR
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
KET
0 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
BOS
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BLY
0 - 3
SOU
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
FYL
1 - 0
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 2
GLO
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 1
CHE
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 1
SPE
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
SPE
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |