Southport vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
MAN
1 - 2
SOU
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
DUL
0 - 1
SOU
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
SOU
0 - 4
YOR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
HED
2 - 1
SOU
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1994 |
ALT
3 - 2
SOU
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
DAR
1 - 1
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
LEY
1 - 1
SWA
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
BAR
3 - 2
LEY
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1998 |
LEY
2 - 1
KIN
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
LEY
1 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |