Southport vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 0
GUI
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
NUN
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
SOU
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALF
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
CHE
48%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
LEA
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 0
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
AFC
4 - 1
LEA
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 2
LEA
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 2
UNM
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |