Southport vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 1
SOU
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
EBB
4 - 1
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
SOU
30%
24%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 1
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
KID
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
KID
4 - 1
TAM
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 3
KID
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
2 - 0
KID
27%
26%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KID
3 - 2
EBB
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |