Southport vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
WOK
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
5 - 2
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NUN
0 - 1
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
WRE
2 - 2
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DAR
0 - 0
GRI
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 0
DAR
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
DAR
1 - 0
LUT
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
DAR
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
DAR
3 - 2
HAL
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |