Southport vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DAR
3 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 1
HYD
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 2
RAD
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
FAR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
BUX
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 1
PET
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
6 - 0
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KIN
0 - 2
CUR
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 1
SCU
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RUS
1 - 2
CUR
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |