Southern District vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
5º
5º
11
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 46 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SDI
1 - 0
BIU
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SDI
2 - 1
HON
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SDI
2 - 2
NDT
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
BIU
0 - 4
SDI
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
SDI
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
WTP
13%
21%
67%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NDT
4 - 1
SHA
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HKU
1 - 3
SHA
41%
24%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KFC
6%
15%
79%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
BIU
10%
18%
72%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +3 |