Southend United vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
OPA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
STA
1 - 1
SOU
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
ROC
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GUL
1 - 0
SOU
26%
25%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 3
LEI
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
WAT
4 - 0
MIL
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 2
MID
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BBU
3 - 2
MIL
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |