Southampton Sub 21 vs Middlesbrough Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
2º
26
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
3 - 2
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
AVI
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
EXE
2 - 1
SOU
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
6 - 2
SOU
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Middlesbrough Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MID
2 - 4
LUS
22%
22%
55%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
WBA
5 - 2
MID
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
NWC
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MID
1 - 3
NOR
17%
21%
63%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |