Premier League Sub 18 South Round 17

Southampton U18 vs Arsenal U18 analysis

Southampton U18 Arsenal U18
31 ELO 42
8.2% Tilt 16.6%
8318º General ELO ranking 6409º
339º Country ELO ranking 221º
ELO win probability
23%
Southampton U18
19.6%
Draw
57.4%
Arsenal U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
Southampton U18
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
57.4%
Win probability
Arsenal U18
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton U18
+73%
-9%
Arsenal U18

Points and table prediction

Southampton U18
Their league position
Arsenal U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aston Villa U18
47
47
100%
Southampton U18
45
45
100%
Arsenal U18
44
44
100%
Chelsea U18
42
42
100%
Fulham U18
39
39
100%
Crystal Palace U18
38
38
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U18
37
37
100%
Reading U18
32
32
100%
West Ham U18
25
25
100%
Brighton & Hove U18
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Leicester U18
12º
23
23
11º
100%
Norwich City U18
11º
23
23
12º
100%
West Bromwich Albion U18
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Southampton U18
Arsenal U18
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Southampton U18
Arsenal U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton U18
Southampton U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
AST
Aston Villa U18
2 - 4
Southampton U18
SOU
41%
21%
37%
31 30 1 0
31 Jan. 2025
SOU
Southampton U18
1 - 1
Crystal Palace U18
CRY
27%
20%
53%
31 39 8 0
25 Jan. 2025
FUL
Fulham U18
2 - 1
Southampton U18
SOU
67%
17%
17%
32 39 7 -1
18 Dec. 2024
BHA
Brighton & Hove U18
2 - 1
Southampton U18
SOU
52%
20%
28%
33 35 2 -1
14 Dec. 2024
SOU
Southampton U18
2 - 1
Reading U18
REA
78%
14%
9%
33 21 12 0

Matches

Arsenal U18
Arsenal U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
ARS
Arsenal U18
3 - 2
West Bromwich Albion U18
WBA
81%
11%
8%
41 25 16 0
25 Jan. 2025
ARS
Arsenal U18
3 - 1
West Ham U18
WHU
39%
22%
38%
39 43 4 +2
09 Nov. 2024
REA
Reading U18
1 - 0
Arsenal U18
ARS
7%
11%
82%
41 18 23 -2
02 Nov. 2024
ARS
Arsenal U18
1 - 1
Crystal Palace U18
CRY
68%
16%
16%
41 34 7 0
26 Oct. 2024
NOR
Norwich City U18
3 - 2
Arsenal U18
ARS
9%
13%
77%
43 21 22 -2