Southampton vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
ATH
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 1
SOU
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 2
SOU
26%
26%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ZWO
0 - 4
SOU
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 2
LOR
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
QPR
2 - 0
WAT
24%
24%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 0
ANZ
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
FCU
1 - 3
WAT
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
STE
0 - 2
WAT
9%
17%
75%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |