Championship Round 20

Southampton vs Preston North End analysis

Southampton Preston North End
65 ELO 64
-2.8% Tilt -1.2%
319º General ELO ranking 981º
23º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
56.3%
Southampton
21.4%
Draw
22.4%
Preston North End

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
Southampton
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.4%
Win probability
Preston North End
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton
-2%
-10%
Preston North End

ELO progression

Southampton
Preston North End
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 1932
CHA
Charlton Athletic
2 - 0
Southampton
SOU
53%
24%
24%
66 63 3 0
10 Dec. 1932
SOU
Southampton
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
61%
21%
18%
67 64 3 -1
03 Dec. 1932
BUR
Burnley
2 - 0
Southampton
SOU
58%
21%
21%
67 62 5 0
26 Nov. 1932
SOU
Southampton
2 - 0
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
51%
21%
28%
67 71 4 0
19 Nov. 1932
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 1
Southampton
SOU
71%
15%
14%
66 71 5 +1

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 1932
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 4
Bradford City
BRA
54%
21%
26%
65 73 8 0
10 Dec. 1932
SWA
Swansea City
3 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
51%
23%
26%
66 65 1 -1
03 Dec. 1932
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 1
Millwall
MIL
68%
18%
14%
67 65 2 -1
26 Nov. 1932
POR
Port Vale
0 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
50%
23%
27%
66 62 4 +1
19 Nov. 1932
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 0
Notts County
NOT
66%
18%
16%
65 63 2 +1