Southampton vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
NOR
1 - 1
SOU
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
MID
1 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1963 |
ROT
2 - 3
SOU
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
OPA
2 - 0
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
SOU
4 - 0
SWA
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1963 |
LEE
2 - 0
SWA
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
LEE
2 - 2
DER
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
HUR
0 - 2
LEE
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
LEE
2 - 0
MID
48%
23%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
NOR
0 - 3
LEE
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |