Southampton vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 2
SOU
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 3
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
IPS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LEE
0 - 1
SOU
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
DON
0 - 3
MIL
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 2
DER
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
REA
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 1
DON
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
NTT
1 - 2
DON
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |