Southampton vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
IPS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LEE
0 - 1
SOU
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 3
SOU
31%
25%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
4 - 0
DER
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 1
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
MID
2 - 0
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
NTT
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COV
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
BIR
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
OPA
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |