South Melbourne vs Sunshine George Cross analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
SYD
0 - 0
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
SOU
2 - 0
SYD
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
WOL
0 - 0
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
SOU
3 - 1
ADE
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
PAE
1 - 2
SOU
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sunshine George Cross
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
SGC
3 - 0
WOL
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
SGC
1 - 1
ADE
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
PAE
2 - 4
SGC
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
SGC
3 - 4
MEL
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MAR
6 - 1
SGC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |