South Melbourne vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 4
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BRI
1 - 0
SOU
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 0
SYD
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
ADE
0 - 3
SOU
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
0 - 0
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 2
BRI
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
SYD
2 - 2
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
ADE
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAP
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |