South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 4
SOU
6%
13%
81%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 3
SOU
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
AVH
0 - 1
DAN
69%
17%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DAC
1 - 3
DAN
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 2
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
DAN
18%
20%
62%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 0
OAK
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |