Sousense vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 0
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
SPO
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
INF
2 - 1
SOU
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 0
SER
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LAM
1 - 4
SOU
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
REB
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
CES
21%
22%
56%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
1 - 0
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
SPO
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
INF
1 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |