Campeonato de Portugal Round 12

Sousense vs Moimenta da Beira analysis

Sousense Moimenta da Beira
42 ELO 34
-10.4% Tilt -9.1%
21532º General ELO ranking 25521º
384º Country ELO ranking 463º
ELO win probability
60%
Sousense
20.7%
Draw
19.4%
Moimenta da Beira

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
Sousense
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.4%
Win probability
Moimenta da Beira
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Sousense
Moimenta da Beira
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sousense
Sousense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2014
SOU
Sousense
2 - 3
Sobrado
SOB
49%
25%
26%
43 40 3 0
16 Nov. 2014
SAL
Salgueiros 08
1 - 0
Sousense
SOU
52%
24%
24%
44 45 1 -1
09 Nov. 2014
ESP
Espinho
1 - 2
Sousense
SOU
37%
27%
36%
43 37 6 +1
02 Nov. 2014
SOU
Sousense
3 - 0
Pedras Rubras
PED
58%
22%
20%
42 35 7 +1
26 Oct. 2014
CIN
Cinfães
2 - 1
Sousense
SOU
51%
25%
24%
43 45 2 -1

Matches

Moimenta da Beira
Moimenta da Beira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2014
MOI
Moimenta da Beira
0 - 0
Cinfães
CIN
26%
25%
48%
33 47 14 0
16 Nov. 2014
SOB
Sobrado
2 - 2
Moimenta da Beira
MOI
63%
19%
18%
33 40 7 0
09 Nov. 2014
COI
Coimbrões
2 - 3
Moimenta da Beira
MOI
60%
21%
19%
31 40 9 +2
02 Nov. 2014
MOI
Moimenta da Beira
0 - 1
Salgueiros 08
SAL
29%
26%
45%
33 45 12 -2
26 Oct. 2014
MOI
Moimenta da Beira
1 - 0
Gondomar
GON
27%
24%
50%
30 44 14 +3