Sourense vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
ADM
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SOU
5 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAM
1 - 3
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 2
NAV
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 2
OLI
21%
23%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
POM
1 - 2
MOR
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
CDT
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |