Sourense vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
SOU
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLI
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
POM
2 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
CDT
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
GDA
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
3 - 0
BEN
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
BEN
71%
17%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |