Sora vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 1
SOR
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SOR
0 - 0
USF
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PAD
4 - 2
SOR
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SOR
4 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RIM
4 - 2
SOR
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 1
FER
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FER
0 - 1
RIM
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
SPA
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
FER
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |