Sora vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
SOR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SOR
0 - 1
RIM
19%
27%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
REG
0 - 0
SOR
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
SOR
0 - 0
TER
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
SOR
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 0
VIS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
USF
0 - 0
PAD
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PAD
4 - 1
GIU
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
VIR
2 - 1
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |