Sonthofen vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
RAI
2 - 1
SON
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
SON
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 1
SON
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SON
2 - 0
FCP
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VRG
0 - 0
SON
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 0
EIC
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
RAI
3 - 0
BOG
41%
23%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 0
UNT
42%
24%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 2
EIC
34%
25%
42%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
UNT
2 - 0
BOG
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |