Denmark Series round 14

Sønderborg vs Varde IF Elite analysis

Sønderborg Varde IF Elite
31 ELO 31
6.2% Tilt 11.4%
22786º General ELO ranking 22643º
226º Country ELO ranking 216º
ELO win probability
52.3%
Sønderborg
20.8%
Draw
26.9%
Varde IF Elite

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
Sønderborg
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.9%
Win probability
Varde IF Elite
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sønderborg
-11%
-32%
Varde IF Elite

ELO progression

Sønderborg
Varde IF Elite
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sønderborg
Sønderborg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2017
SON
Sønderborg
3 - 2
Esbjerg II
ESB
54%
21%
25%
31 29 2 0
21 Oct. 2017
AAR
VSK Aarhus II
2 - 1
Sønderborg
SON
45%
21%
34%
30 30 0 +1
14 Oct. 2017
B19
Boldklubben 1909
4 - 0
Sønderborg
SON
50%
22%
29%
32 31 1 -2
07 Oct. 2017
TAR
Tarup-Paarup
3 - 1
Sønderborg
SON
74%
15%
12%
33 43 10 -1
30 Sep. 2017
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
1 - 2
Sønderborg
SON
59%
20%
21%
32 36 4 +1

Matches

Varde IF Elite
Varde IF Elite
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2017
VAR
Varde IF Elite
5 - 3
Aarhus Fremad II
AAR
37%
22%
41%
31 35 4 0
21 Oct. 2017
ESB
Esbjerg II
1 - 0
Varde IF Elite
VAR
48%
21%
31%
30 26 4 +1
14 Oct. 2017
VAR
Varde IF Elite
3 - 2
Kolding BK B
KOL
21%
19%
59%
29 38 9 +1
07 Oct. 2017
AAR
VSK Aarhus II
3 - 1
Varde IF Elite
VAR
49%
22%
29%
30 29 1 -1
30 Sep. 2017
OFA
SfB-Oure
3 - 2
Varde IF Elite
VAR
80%
14%
7%
30 47 17 0