Somozas vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LEA
2 - 2
SOM
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SOM
2 - 0
MAR
27%
27%
46%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 0
SOM
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
RCF
21%
25%
55%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UDL
3 - 2
SOM
66%
21%
14%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UPL
1 - 1
COM
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 3
UPL
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UPL
1 - 0
ZAM
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AST
1 - 2
UPL
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UPL
0 - 2
MUR
8%
22%
70%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |