Somozas vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
OVI
2 - 1
SOM
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 1
COX
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 0
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 2
SOM
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOM
1 - 0
ZAM
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
SPB
3 - 0
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
SPB
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SPB
2 - 0
ZAM
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AST
1 - 1
SPB
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 0
MUR
15%
25%
60%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |