Somozas vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 4
SOM
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 3
SOM
17%
23%
61%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 0
NEG
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
OUR
2 - 3
SOM
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SOM
0 - 1
NOI
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
CUL
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHO
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CHO
3 - 2
BOI
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RCV
2 - 0
CHO
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |