Soller vs Calvià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Soller
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
SLL
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SLL
1 - 0
SOL
38%
24%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MNC
1 - 2
SLL
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SLL
1 - 2
MUR
67%
17%
15%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SLL
5 - 5
PLA
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Calvià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
COL
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SOL
0 - 1
CAL
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 2
MNC
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
CAL
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
FLN
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |