Sobrado vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobrado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CIN
3 - 0
SOB
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 0
SOB
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 4
PED
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 1
SOB
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SOB
2 - 0
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 3
GON
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
AMA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 1
AMA
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
TIR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 2
FEL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +5 |