SMU Mustangs vs UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TMP
2 - 0
SMU
16%
18%
66%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 5
SMU
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
7 - 0
SFB
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
MPH
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 2
SMU
47%
22%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
MPH
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 3
TUL
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
UCF
12%
17%
72%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 0
TMP
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
UCF
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |