Smiltene vs New Project analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 6
SMI
9%
16%
75%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SMI
6 - 2
GRO
67%
17%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SMI
3 - 3
ALB
71%
17%
13%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SMI
2 - 5
FKT
33%
23%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SUP
3 - 0
SMI
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
New Project
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
FCN
1 - 1
RFA
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
AUD
1 - 0
FCN
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
FCN
7%
16%
76%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
ALB
3 - 2
FCN
22%
26%
53%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FCN
6 - 0
GRO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |