1. Liga Round 21

Smiltene vs FK Auda analysis

Smiltene FK Auda
39 ELO 51
18.1% Tilt 9.4%
8045º General ELO ranking 915º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.9%
Smiltene
21.8%
Draw
52.3%
FK Auda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
Smiltene
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.3%
Win probability
FK Auda
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Smiltene
-18%
+5%
FK Auda

ELO progression

Smiltene
FK Auda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Smiltene
Smiltene
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2016
SMI
Smiltene
1 - 3
Babīte
BAB
21%
22%
57%
40 61 21 0
20 Aug. 2016
RTU
Rigas Tehniska
1 - 3
Smiltene
SMI
71%
18%
12%
39 50 11 +1
06 Aug. 2016
FCS
Skonto Riga
5 - 0
Smiltene
SMI
81%
14%
5%
39 71 32 0
30 Jul. 2016
SMI
Smiltene
3 - 5
Rezekne/BJSS
REZ
19%
19%
62%
40 52 12 -1
23 Jul. 2016
SAL
Saldus
0 - 5
Smiltene
SMI
15%
18%
68%
39 20 19 +1

Matches

FK Auda
FK Auda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2016
RCR
FK Ogre
2 - 4
FK Auda
AUD
21%
21%
58%
50 37 13 0
20 Aug. 2016
AUD
FK Auda
3 - 4
Olaine
CAD
52%
23%
26%
50 51 1 0
14 Aug. 2016
PRE
Preiļu BJSS
0 - 5
FK Auda
AUD
11%
18%
71%
50 25 25 0
06 Aug. 2016
ALB
JDFS Alberts
1 - 3
FK Auda
AUD
18%
21%
61%
49 36 13 +1
30 Jul. 2016
AUD
FK Auda
0 - 4
Babīte
BAB
29%
25%
47%
50 62 12 -1