Smedby vs Eskilstuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+334%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
12º
12º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 61 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 55 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 45 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 32 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 29 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 29 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 27 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 24 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SME
3 - 2
HUD
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ASI
2 - 2
SME
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SME
2 - 1
EKO
77%
13%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SME
3 - 3
BKF
57%
21%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
SLE
1 - 1
SME
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
EIF
2 - 2
ASI
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ENS
2 - 1
EIF
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
EIF
1 - 3
FOF
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ATV
4 - 0
EIF
86%
9%
4%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
EIF
0 - 2
RIF
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |