Small Town vs Freeport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
59.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Small Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LPR
4 - 1
STO
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
STO
0 - 2
MBA
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MCL
2 - 0
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
STO
0 - 2
NPA
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
STO
0 - 5
LIS
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Freeport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NKW
2 - 0
FRE
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FRE
2 - 2
LPR
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MBA
0 - 2
FRE
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 1
MCL
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NPA
3 - 3
FRE
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |