Varnsdorf vs Sigma Olomouc II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
16º
13º
48
2º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 34 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
TEP
4 - 0
SLO
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
6 - 0
JBN
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SLI
4 - 0
SLO
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
OPA
2 - 1
SLO
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
KAR
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sigma Olomouc II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SGO
3 - 3
ZLI
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
VIK
0 - 5
SGO
12%
17%
72%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SGO
2 - 2
VYS
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SGO
3 - 1
KFK
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 4
SGO
33%
23%
44%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |