Varnsdorf vs Chrudim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
16º
14º
42
4º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
SKK
2 - 1
SLO
11%
17%
73%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ZBR
1 - 0
SLO
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 2
FKM
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
SLO
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
KOS
1 - 4
SLO
12%
16%
72%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Chrudim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
ACL
1 - 2
CHR
15%
20%
66%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 1
VYS
26%
26%
49%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VJI
3 - 3
CHR
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
6 - 2
PRO
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZBR
4 - 1
CHR
61%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |